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BOJ deputy warns AI hype could spark market correction and shift natural interest rate

Reported by Vivek Joshi (Copy Editor) · Economic Times - Markets ·

Unconfirmed — Reported by one source so far

Reported by one source so far

Important
BOJ deputy warns AI hype could spark market correction and shift natural interest rateRepresentative image · Wikimedia Commons

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida warned that a surge in artificial‑intelligence demand could lift asset prices and spark a market correction if the hoped‑for AI returns do not appear. He said AI is already reshaping the financial landscape, driving investors to bid up tech‑related stocks and other assets. Uchida noted that rising prices driven by AI hype could become unsustainable, leading to a pull‑back when profits fall short. He added that strong, lasting demand for AI tools might also shift Japan’s natural rate of interest, the level that would exist without policy intervention. The deputy governor suggested that if AI drives long‑term productivity gains, the central bank may need to adopt a more accommodative stance, while a bubble could force tighter measures. His comments were recorded on 03 Oct 2026 at 01:30 AM IST. ## Context Artificial intelligence is rapidly entering many sectors, and investors often price future growth into assets today. When expectations prove overly optimistic, the correction can be sharp. Japan’s natural interest rate is a benchmark that guides monetary policy; a shift could affect borrowing costs across the economy.

ExplainerWhy this matters

What Happened

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said that strong demand for artificial‑intelligence technologies could push asset prices higher and cause a correction if the expected AI returns do not materialise.

Why It Matters

When investors price future AI‑driven profits into stocks and other assets today, any shortfall in those profits can lead to a rapid sell‑off, known as a market correction. The natural rate of interest is the theoretical interest level that would prevail without any monetary policy action; a shift in this rate influences how the central bank sets policy, affecting loan costs for businesses and households.

What Happens Next

Uchida indicated that the Bank of Japan will watch AI‑related valuation trends closely. If AI boosts long‑term productivity, the bank may keep policy loose to support growth. If a bubble forms, it may consider tightening measures. Investors should monitor AI sector news and any policy signals from the BOJ.

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